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See Today's Mortgage Rates

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The Federal Reserve Pause

& Mortgage Rate Spike

September 21, 2023

Hi, Home Buyer.


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Federal Reserve FOMC September 2023 & Mortgage Rates

Today's Live Mortgage Update

Exhibit A: The Federal Reserve doesn't set mortgage rates.


The Federal Reserve policy-making commttee met for the sixth time this year this week. At its meeting, the independent government group voted “no change” on the Fed Funds Rate by unanimous vote.


You can read the Fed statement here.


At 2:00 PM ET Wednesday, immediately following the announcement, 30-year mortgage rates improved on the belief that the Fed had successfully engineered a soft landing and that inflation was officially done. 


Then, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell took the mic and refuted those assumptions.


Summarized, he said:

  1. inflation may be under control (or not)

  2. The economy may enter recession (or not)

  3. More rate hikes may be needed (or not)

The comments caused Wall Street to glitch out. With no clear guidance from the Fed, traders unwound their trades to prepare for additional and unknown risk.


Rates got worse slowly, then quickly. And, by 4:00 PM ET, 30-year mortgage rates were back to their worst levels of the year and approaching a 23-year high.  


How bad was it? I issued a retraction.

 

All this to say: The Federal Reserve's interest rates aren't the same as your mortgage rates as a home buyer. Your mortgage rates can change even when the Fed makes a pause.


You can read more on this topic on the website and watch the full-length video that accompanies it.


The Fed meets again for its next 2-day meeting October 31, 2023. Mortgage rates for buyers will defintely change between now and then.



Happy homebuying,

Dan Green

Dan Green
LinkedIn: Linkedin.com/company/homebuyer
YouTube: Youtube.com/c/HomebuyerMortgage
See today's mortgage rates here

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HOMEBUYER.COM STATISTIC OF THE DAY
Source: FFEIC

Home Buyer Income Relative To Their Area, By Generation:

  • Gen Z: 94.5% of the area median income

  • Younger Millennials: 126.2% of the area median income

  • Older Millennials: 158.9% of the area median income

  • Gen X: 166.3% of the area median income

  • Younger Baby Boomers: 153.7% of the area median income

  • Older Baby Boomers: 130.5% of the area median income

Data is based on residential purchase mortgages in 2022 and census-tract income data as provided by the FFEIC and U.S. Census Bureau,


See more home buyer statistics from our Research page in 138 Generational Home Buyer Statistics To Surprise You.

MORTGAGE RATE CALENDAR
Upcoming events that may change the direction of mortgage rates


September 26: Building Permits

September 26: New Home Sales

September 28, 2023: GDP Sales

September 29, 2023: Personal Consumer Expenditures

September 29, 2023: Consumer Sentiment 

October 31, 2023: Federal Open Market Committee Meets

Subscribe to our YouTube channel for additional insight.

Homebuyer.com HMDA study

FIRST-TIME HOME BUYER PROGRAMS
Status of select first-time home buyer bills in Congress
 
The Downpayment Toward Equity Act

A cash grant up to $25,000 for first-time, first-generation home buyers. 
- Last Action in Congress: June 21, 2023
- Status: Not yet passed
- Alternative Mortgages: Conventional 100, 100% USDA

The DASH Act
A $15,000 first-time home buyer tax credit.
- Last Action in Congress: March 7, 2023
- Status: Not yet passed
- Alternative Mortgages: HomeReady, HomePossible

The HELPER Act
A 100% mortgage for teachers & first responders.
- Last Action in Congress: May 10, 2023
- Status: Not yet passed
- Alternative Mortgages: Conventional 100, VA Mortgage

The LIFT Act
A mortgage that builds home equity faster.
- Last Action in Congress: June 22, 2023
- Status: Not yet passed
- Alternative Mortgages: None


The Middle Class Mortgage Insurance Premium Act

A bill to make mortgage insurance tax deductions permanent for homeowners earning less than $100,000/$200,000.

- Last Action in Congress: June 13, 2023
- Status: Not yet passed

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