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See Today's Mortgage Rates

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IN THIS ISSUE


  • It's not a bold prediction when you can back it up

  • Ride an actual mortgage rate roller coaster

  • Rates dropped so buyers jumped in

  • The condos you can't finance

  • A mortgage meme

Read Time: 4 Minutes

2024 Mortgage Rate Prediction: 4.25% By Mid-Summer

December 24, 2023

Hello Home Buyer.


It's almost 2024 so let's talk predictions for the upcoming year.


Mortgage Rates Will Drop To 4.25%
Since November 1, 2023, mortgage rates have been on a win streak. We're at 9 straight weeks of falling rates. For the last time that happened, scroll down to the Know Your Numbers section. It's historic and the rates have no reason to stop the slide now. We did a complete breakdown on the website if you're into data and statistics. Or, if you just want to know how the movie ends, we're calling for 4.25% mortgage rates by mid-summer (and yours truly has a pretty good history of getting this right).


The FHA Will Mortgage Insurance Premiums
In Q4, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) made its annual report to Congress which revealed the agency's cash buffer has 5x more money in it than required by law. The FHA already lowered mortgage insurance premiums once in the last 12 months. We expect they'll do it again. Home buyers with FHA-backed mortgages will see homeownership get more affordable and attainable in 2024. 


Congress Will Finally Help Home Buyers
Last year, as mortgage rates spiked and home supply shrunk, Congress bypassed first-time home buyers. None of the six first-time home buyer bills passed into law which means no new tax credits, no new cash grants, no new down payment assistance. In 2024, we expect Congress to reverse course and the most likely bill to pass into law is The HELPER Act - a 100% mortgage for teachers and first responders. The bill has huge bipartisan support - 107 co-sponsors in the House and 15 in the Senate - and could pass as soon as this summer. We're still tracking other bills, too, including the $15,000 first-time home buyer tax credit and the $25,000 cash grant for first-generation buyers. We'll report on news as we see it.


What's Your Biggest Question?
Looking forward to 2024, if there's one question about owning a home in the next 12 months, what would it be? Hit reply and let me know.


Happy Homebuying!

Dan Green

Dan Green
NMLS #423065
See today's mortgage rates here

KNOW YOUR NUMBERS

9

The number of consecutive weeks that mortgage rates have dropped. The last time mortgage rates dropped 9 weeks in a row was November-December 2008.

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MORTGAGE RATE ROLLER COASTER

We built a mortgage rate roller coaster for fun. The track follows the exact path of mortgage rates since 2012. If you are prone to motion sickness or experience discomfort while watching similar content, stop the video immediately.

Mortgage Rate Roller Coaster - Don't Vomit

MORTGAGE SMART IN 60 SECONDS

Home buyers just waited for rates to come down

The National Association of REALTORS® released its monthly Existing Home Sales repor. Sales popped 0.8% in November, the first time that sales increased since Spring. 

Mortgage Rates Drop Again - 8 Weeks Straight #mortgagerates

Every business day, we make a 60-second video for our customers, highlighting the latest and most important stories in mortgage and real estate.


Subscribe to our YouTube channel for this and more.

WORD OF THE WEEK

NON-WARRANTABLE CONDOMINIUM

A non-warrantable condominium is a condo unit in a building that falls short of basic financial or operational stability standards. Non-warrantable condos are not eligible for most mortgage financing. Before you buy a condo, ask your real estate whether the unit is non-warrantable.


QUIZ TIME

What is a flipped home?

A. A home that's been turned upside-down in a storm

B. A home where the homeowner owes more on the home than the home is worth

C. A home that's been purchased, renovated, and sold for a profit within a short period 

D. A home that is uninsured


Which answer do you think is correct?

A
B
C
D
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